Last updated: 12/08/2026
The figures on this page come directly from gamevika's internal game data store (counted/read straight from the real records), not an estimate or copy from elsewhere.
Should I Pull?
Enter your Stellar Jade and pity count — this calculator, covering all 67 Honkai: Star Rail five-star characters, gives your odds and a pull-or-wait verdict.
Enter your current jades and pity count, and this tool gives the real probability you'll land the featured character or Light Cone — even for E1-E6 copies — based on HSR's actual 50/50 and pull-90 hard pity rules.
Pull or skip? — multiple goals, multiple banners
List your goals in the order you plan to pull them. This tool adds up the guaranteed cost across goals, tells you plainly whether to PULL, WAIT or SKIP, and which goal to drop if you fall short.
Official figures: base rate, hard pity, the guarantee after losing a 50/50, and the fact that each banner type counts its own pity — from the official post by
HoYoverse.
Estimate (community model): the soft-pity threshold and the average-pull figures are a COMMUNITY MODEL, not published by the developer. We use them only where the label says “estimate”; every “guaranteed” number comes from the official figures.
Checked against game version 4.4 · updated 2026-07-15
This page does NOT predict upcoming banners. Everything is calculated on the goals and order you enter yourself.
Total pulls you have: 0 pulls
The link contains only the numbers used in the maths (jade, passes, pity, banner type). It NEVER contains your UID or your warp history.
Copied.
What is this tool?
“Should I pull?” is every gacha player's hardest question. This tool answers with numbers: from your Stellar Jade + passes + current pity, it simulates the game's real rates (soft/hard pity, 50/50, guarantee) to compute your exact chance of getting the character — then gives a PULL or WAIT verdict. No gut feeling, no FOMO.
When should you use it?
- A new banner drops and you wonder “do I have enough jade to be safe?”.
- You want to know how much more jade to reach a 90% guarantee.
- You're going for Eidolons (multiple copies) and need to know if your budget covers it.
How to use — 4 steps
- Pick the banner (Character / Light Cone) and the character you want.
- Enter your Stellar Jade + passes and current pity.
- Choose how many copies you want (E0 or Eidolons).
- Read your chance % and the PULL / WAIT verdict on the right.
How to read the result
- The big % is your chance to hit the target with your current budget. ≥85% is a safe bet.
- “Average needed” = expected pulls; “Safety line” = pulls to be 90%/99% sure.
- If the verdict is WAIT, look at the 90% line to see how much more jade you need.
Results come from 6,000 simulations at the game's public rates (5★ 0.6%, soft pity 74, hard pity 90, pure 50/50). These are statistical odds for reference — each pull's luck is random, and nothing is 100% until the hard-pity line.
What is the percentage based on?
The percentage is the result of a Monte Carlo simulation (6,000 iterations) run on HoYoverse's published gacha mechanics (0.6% base, soft/hard pity, 50/50 + guarantee) — the same rate table used by the Pity Calculator and Warp Simulator, cross-checked against HoYoverse's official probability data. This is a statistical probability, NOT a prediction of your next pull.
Updated for version 4.4 · 15/07/2026
FAQ
How much is 1 pull in Stellar Jade?
160 Stellar Jade = 1 pull. The tool converts your jade into pulls automatically.
Is the result accurate?
Yes. It simulates the public rates and is verified against the pity formula. But it's a probability, not a promise of a hit.
What is “Guaranteed”?
If you lost the 50/50 on your last 5★ (got a standard unit), your next 5★ is guaranteed featured. Turn this on if you're in that state.
How are Eidolons (multiple copies) handled?
Pick the number of copies — the tool computes the total pulls/jade needed for all of them (each copy is a fresh 50/50 cycle).
Understand the mechanics behind this
Tier List→
Pity Calculator→